Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054d65b6fba3dab504763d9fe2b1e078d6be30733fcdb94cb45ad7b97f30828c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Seattle Redhawks, Saint Mary's Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed Seattle Redhawks | 18c | 3,893$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Seattle Redhawks | 26c | 2,995$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.34 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks | 15c | 2,273$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Redhawks | 13c | 1,705$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 13c | 1,103$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Seattle Redhawks | 8c | 1,097$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…1cadbacked Seattle Redhawks | 17c | 1,096$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Seattle Redhawks | 33c | 964.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.38 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 863.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 755.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 22c | 709.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Seattle Redhawks | 23c | 677$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 540$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 502.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 4c | 479.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks | 30c | 340.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Seattle Redhawks | 34c | 293.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 277.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 251.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seattle Redhawks | 17c | 217.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 64c | 203.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 197.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 13c | 105.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks | 24c | 90.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 29c | 61.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Seattle Redhawks | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…f229backed Seattle Redhawks | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 30c | 45.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Seattle Redhawks | 31c | 44.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…cad3backed Seattle Redhawks | 38c | 39.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Seattle Redhawks | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 80c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.