Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd171f2bb323ef5b831684336206ba07e75c5ba10d5d9b4660d4d7ae1fb54ac75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 3,169$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.25 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 3,122$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 2,900$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.36 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 47c | 1,944$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.51 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 54c | 764.92$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 47c | 382.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 44c | 163$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Under | 46c | 60.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 46c | 52.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 49.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Under | 46c | 24.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin BadgersVillanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.