Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71144645e8897bc79e7355737a9541b9331748720e99393004657b836171e142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 5,146$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.08 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 4,059$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.66 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 3,138$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 2,946$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.15 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 2,775$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wisconsin Badgers | 13c | 2,013$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wisconsin Badgers | 1c | 1,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 19c | 1,390$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…14c9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 973.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 22c | 892$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Villanova Wildcats | 64c | 750$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wisconsin Badgers | 67c | 710$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…b788backed Villanova Wildcats | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 382.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 340$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 328.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers | 19c | 322.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wisconsin Badgers | 20c | 322.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 274$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Villanova Wildcats | 71c | 273.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 244.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Villanova Wildcats | 35c | 242.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 233.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 221.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 218.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 156.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 133.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Villanova Wildcats | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 115.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 111.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Villanova Wildcats | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Wisconsin Badgers | 66c | 92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…3a74backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Wisconsin Badgers | 65c | 85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…4a00backed Villanova Wildcats | 39c | 84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 65.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…4a82backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 57.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…5abfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 77c | 29.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Villanova Wildcats | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Villanova Wildcats | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgersthis page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.