TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No29c15,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes71c13,580$9,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.286547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c9,225$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.237,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No28c6,203$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.652,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No27c5,921$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.692,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c4,622$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.625,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes71c4,155$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.0939637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes73c3,927$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.72250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c3,490$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.71717%5 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes72c3,277$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.4514949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes74c2,975$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.112646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.786451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes72c2,461$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.824153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Yes76c2,431$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.643050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No28c2,282$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63923546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes78c1,946$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.346662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9947325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c1,298$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.941,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes71c1,288$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.527160.6%43 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No27c1,222$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.661,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes72c1,187$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes71c999.98$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.998845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No3c949.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.495042%21 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3337149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes72c691.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.054465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c649.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9985340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes71c547.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.22055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes71c520.2$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2225263.5%160 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c441.16$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes71c434$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xece2…0c61backed Yes73c430$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.62748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Yes72c427$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.549848%47 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86de…4f4ebacked Yes72c410$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c379$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1229742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes71c323.24$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…2803backed Yes72c318.96$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.962055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes70c307.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.147142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes72c301.74$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.491258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes70c301.69$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No30c291.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9649046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb03…00fcbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c8…8b87backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2d…3ec7backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No25c247.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.843145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes72c220$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.623256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes71c212.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.564353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes70c199.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.734141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes69c190$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x409a…5a66backed Yes68c188.84$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No28c182$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9643546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No29c177.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.343545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No31c166.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No30c160.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.462860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No28c155$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4857019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.868257.3%47 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa6c…e935backed Yes70c142.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes70c141.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5713959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No29c141.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.952853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No25c135.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7718143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes72c131.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9436647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes73c124$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8c…c270backed Yes72c120.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.341450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No28c119.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes73c117.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes71c113.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9332835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed No29c96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.844228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.713171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes70c78.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.228458.3%49 W · 35 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9977…ddb5backed Yes72c77.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.296142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2598552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ec7…7796backed No30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7209…a358backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435160.8%31 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No28c69.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.427454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes72c64.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.057115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes72c59.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3179…3d2abacked Yes70c57.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…92babacked Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No31c54.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.054440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No29c53.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4316953.8%91 W · 78 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Yes72c51.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.374944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes69c49.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3814435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No27c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.