Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83eef85608cd769174b5fc7cac92c9db5225f26e16ee3c2de45e2d39e280625b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof Memphis Tigers, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 62c | 2,484$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 41c | 2,287$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.19 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers | 30c | 1,703$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Memphis Tigers | 43c | 1,295$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.37 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Memphis Tigers | 37c | 875.62$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 63c | 704.52$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Memphis Tigers | 28c | 703.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Memphis Tigers | 40c | 700.17$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.07 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 61c | 517.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Memphis Tigers | 35c | 508.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Memphis Tigers | 37c | 500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 59c | 460.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Memphis Tigers | 33c | 459.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis Tigers | 38c | 428$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis Tigers | 39c | 427.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 325.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Memphis Tigers | 32c | 311.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 276.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Memphis Tigers | 37c | 252$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 75c | 245.7$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 68c | 225.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis Tigers | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 154.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Memphis Tigers | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Memphis Tigers | 60c | 139.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 75c | 131$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Memphis Tigers | 44c | 99.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 68c | 83.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 61c | 73.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 72c | 72.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Memphis Tigers | 59c | 68.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…902cbacked Memphis Tigers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Memphis Tigers | 47c | 60.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 54.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 63c | 54.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Memphis Tigers | 30c | 45.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Memphis Tigers | 38c | 40.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Memphis Tigers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Memphis Tigers | 36c | 38.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Memphis Tigers | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 36.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 34.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Memphis Tigers | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Memphis Tigers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Memphis Tigers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Memphis Tigers | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 79cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-3.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
- Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-4.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.