Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db1b0b2589795afbb3c762c39c5669245547be0ccaef6d488a4dfffc2da37a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 76c | 68,074$51,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,965.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 23c | 19,958$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,367.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 25c | 18,481$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,778.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 18,359$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.94 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 9,554$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.6 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 23c | 9,196$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080.67 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 38c | 6,037$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 26c | 4,647$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +77%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 28c | 2,559$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.69 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 59c | 1,970$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 60c | 1,616$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 25c | 1,384$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 890.41$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 755.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 694.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 630.13$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 20c | 599.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.18 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 77c | 402.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 23c | 350$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 25c | 198$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 63c | 192.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 27c | 172$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 77c | 166$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 148.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 78c | 148.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 26c | 135$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 23c | 125.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 26c | 123$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 41c | 119.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 23c | 98.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 24c | 96.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 26c | 88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…49aabacked Yes | 80c | 87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 22c | 77.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…267cbacked No | 27c | 74.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 26c | 69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 26c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 54c | 65.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 27c | 61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…dde9backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 75c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 27c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…154ebacked No | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Yes | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…ce3abacked No | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Yes | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Yes | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Yes | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed No | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…9051backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Yes | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Yes | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Yes | 71c | 19.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will NK Celje vs. Shelbourne FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shelbourne FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.