TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over44c16,444$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,239.7624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over48c10,850$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,694.323937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under56c9,270$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.131,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c4,214$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.8650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c4,080$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.2264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under54c3,454$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.1617648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7106250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Over46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under56c2,412$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.3653348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under45c1,961$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.4560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c1,721$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.7656852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over43c1,487$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.5931450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c1,238$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.4375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c1,205$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over47c999.94$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9739242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41318744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over48c681.02$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.138950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under51c643.27$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0713959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c389.3$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3335648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c386.58$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.896844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c385$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.617656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c299.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9716045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over44c283.01$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15947348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over44c269$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5220238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…7c7ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Under52c219.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.420650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over43c208$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Under64c194.94$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over48c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.516940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Under53c133.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under59c131.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc088…0809backed Under62c104.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2728047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c88.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0116349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133e…5058backed Under57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over38c77.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7532043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1072…18ebbacked Over42c61.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x368d…0c2ebacked Over43c58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c57.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.134652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff20…eca0backed Over46c39.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf6…0edfbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811260.7%68 W · 44 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2090…bb62backed Over50c29.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under52c27.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbde…49d0backed Over49c26.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d17…a6f4backed Under52c26.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8219152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over61c25.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d67…ae9fbacked Under53c24.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…b7c0backed Under56c23.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4e…eb4ebacked Over50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2aa…7f1abacked Under53c22.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e3…6a57backed Under53c22.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…745bbacked Over48c22.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59a…eaf6backed Over49c22.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…095fbacked Over50c22.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbd…eeabbacked Under53c22.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked Over49c22.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x752f…a33cbacked Over45c22.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa017…a6d3backed Under52c22.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc483…0c27backed Over49c22.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72cf…eec6backed Under53c21.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f36…d137backed Under56c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x690a…fcc9backed Under53c19.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab5…2460backed Under54c19.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under61c17.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683727%10 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.