NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd3b90a9a591c618f0781a36dd95e5a28f74d1df2674f90d4e90ed30c8c3f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 34c | 1,046$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.53 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 66c | 759.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 37c | 514.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.11 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 63c | 237.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 65c | 208.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 9c | 194.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 69c | 180$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Under | 66c | 150.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 139.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 61c | 122.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Over | 41c | 122.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 34c | 113.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Under | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 58c | 76.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 65c | 62.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…bd4fbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 37.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 36c | 36.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 53c | 25.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…4050backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams won
- Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 39.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.