CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Leo Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4e7a5924529063f2c8b7b1636c75762f4c86f09dd78b6433e497e51bf71f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Leo Team | 63c | 1,308$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tricked | 53c | 1,229$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Leo Team | 23c | 867.7$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tricked | 56c | 377.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tricked | 63c | 323.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…a9cabacked Tricked | 47c | 280$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tricked | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Tricked | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Leo Team | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Tricked | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Tricked | 52c | 208.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 30c | 191.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Leo Team | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 62c | 170.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…d2b1backed Tricked | 67c | 165.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Leo Team | 58c | 141.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Leo Team | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Tricked | 60c | 132.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Tricked | 42c | 103.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Leo Team | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Leo Team | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Leo Team | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Leo Team | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Tricked | 60c | 74.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Tricked | 48c | 66.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…4b88backed Leo Team | 47c | 63.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team | 52c | 56.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Leo Team | 55c | 54.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Leo Team | 47c | 51.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Leo Team | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Leo Team | 53c | 41.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Tricked | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Leo Team | 57c | 34.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Leo Team | 74c | 21.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…eaa6backed Tricked | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.