Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48dc039d576f246b9358d8d7a42e4c258294fc6690ac4d9500aef8cc2e79e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 32,335$16,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,021.8 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 13,405$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 8,879$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 6,945$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.1 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 29c | 6,780$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.97 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.34 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 43c | 4,999$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 4,223$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.58 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 76c | 3,449$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.98 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 4c | 3,312$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 44c | 2,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 47c | 2,255$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.32 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 76c | 1,708$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.93 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 55c | 1,406$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.15 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…91a9backed Under | 42c | 1,049$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 1,048$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.72 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 42c | 954.77$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.3 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 71c | 915.49$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 15c | 801$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.85 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 45c | 770.36$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 66c | 400.04$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…f00dbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 72c | 181$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 71c | 152$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 74c | 134.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 71c | 133$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 56c | 114$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 72c | 113$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 54c | 111.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 71c | 109$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 71c | 104$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 71c | 103$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 71c | 102$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 71c | 93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 74.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 71c | 73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 71c | 73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 29c | 72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 71c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 35c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 72c | 64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Under | 40c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 30c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 29c | 35.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 27.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 71c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.