Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c4260f0ab0903e31ce0d1b221ae69f5fc8f9a5587ce536610e5c35b9a857e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Penn Quakers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Penn Quakers | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 77c | 1,767$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.19 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Penn Quakers | 56c | 1,607$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.83 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers | 58c | 1,259$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.55 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers | 51c | 966.85$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn Quakers | 35c | 874.01$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 516.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.01 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 492.91$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers | 57c | 489.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 68c | 407.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 347.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 30c | 329.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn Quakers | 60c | 303.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 303.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 7c | 281.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 40c | 222.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 44c | 215.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Penn Quakers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 40c | 99.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 33c | 66.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Penn Quakers | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 49.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Penn Quakers | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers | 42c | 31.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 57c | 19.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.