Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafbbde660a4192f5708c4c09b7fb913d0f17a60b00da07e96a60ef07592764d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 61c | 14,938$9,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.79 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 26c | 375$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed No | 30c | 337.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 37c | 212$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 73c | 188$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 79c | 151.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 26c | 146$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 27c | 124$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 64c | 120.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 119.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 95.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 70c | 94.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 27c | 81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 78.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 75.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 25c | 74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 28c | 64.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 73c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…87eebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 40c | 28.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 61c | 24.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.