Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97948286d0877a2dae8052cf8ba1ba008c1071c0b4aa485aa1194763b232a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 56c | 14,192$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 38c | 7,091$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.45 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,891$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 696.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 58c | 494.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 476.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 309$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 256.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529e…27aabacked Yes | 41c | 195$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…aab1backed No | 59c | 195$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 41c | 125.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 43c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 57c | 48.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.