Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904e7efeb917127a694fe468eb5611c42b836f59dcb812c5ff03064e93b14e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 1,014$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 452.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…13a7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…a292backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 199$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 179.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 47.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 70c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.