Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67744b78f67526712b93df97ac629e44f30cb11c63352c3bf9edfa6a50c5b7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 145.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 176.5this page
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State Cowboys won
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-20.5)Cal State Fullerton Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.