Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Alabama Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1cc03b1cf82c1556fae10a9d5aba17e02921c5105e6bbbcf1e39ef0ab2dd271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 59c | 775$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions | 10c | 711.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Alabama Lions | 41c | 657$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Alabama Lions | 17c | 602.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed North Alabama Lions | 10c | 522.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Alabama Lions | 17c | 138.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked North Alabama Lions | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Alabama Lions | 15c | 117.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Alabama Lions | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked North Alabama Lions | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Alabama Lions | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Alabama Lions | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed North Alabama Lions | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed North Alabama Lions | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Alabama Lionsthis page
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 149.5Under won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-2.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.