Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce0319e16f2da64125664ac9b26632b23ad770399e6ce6fc0896383a1949914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 42c | 128$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 97.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 41c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 42c | 74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Yes | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Yes | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.