Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9134c81a853441d3ec28025328ca407d3b727769af90cec4d80f3dc9f12a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fe3…5470backed Under | 76c | 33,103$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 22,557$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,142.96 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 12,696$6,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,673.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 28c | 9,674$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.08 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 2,152$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.63 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 1,933$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.16 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 53c | 976$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.28 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 926.04$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 59c | 538.96$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 71c | 471.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…5cfcbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Over | 49c | 283$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…4900backed Over | 49c | 254$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 25c | 140.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 26c | 114$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 58c | 111.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Over | 27c | 109$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 56c | 101.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Over | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…9a2ebacked Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 27c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 73c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 54c | 32.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 73c | 30.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Under | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Under | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 60c | 17.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.