Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe159a5f92b3e995d925eba7858c189a40759cfa395f3d8176dba4e7b7d7e752d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof Atalanta BC, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC | 71c | 3,060$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 1,101$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.17 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Atalanta BC | 31c | 1,083$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.75 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Atalanta BC | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 336.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hellas Verona FC | 67c | 336.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 66c | 313.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Atalanta BC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 277.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Atalanta BC | 31c | 254.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Hellas Verona FC | 72c | 228.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Atalanta BC | 32c | 156.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Atalanta BC | 33c | 121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Atalanta BC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Atalanta BC | 32c | 76.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Atalanta BC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Atalanta BC | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Atalanta BC | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Atalanta BC | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Atalanta BC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.