Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28ebc992f200c6ae4c1eda3d4a6bb301d0227b4e13a9e898b492a23744201fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Providence Friars, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Providence Friars | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Providence Friars | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Providence Friars | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Providence Friars | 52c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Providence Friars | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Providence Friars | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Providence Friars | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Providence Friars | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence FriarsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.