Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11bc43bc43f4ab3d08190990e4be4c35944657234d35919d000e4ebaf324643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 15,559$7,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.82 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 4,995$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 3,820$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.61 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,667$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 750$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 48c | 420.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 183.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 53c | 136$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 51c | 122.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Under | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence FriarsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.