Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ad03b84a6a3278a77587311709e92b8369e727ad8d027264e30b0898e859bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 47c | 781$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.07 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 781$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 356.84$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 53c | 305.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 143.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 64.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence FriarsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.