Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe6a0509d89b3f1fe628f1b520b457ec5aaffe1df6e24a0750d507885a6e14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Providence Friars, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 187$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 126$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 122.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Providence Friars | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Providence Friars | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Providence Friars | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Providence Friars | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Providence Friars | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Providence Friars | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Providence Friars | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Providence Friars | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence FriarsSeton Hall Pirates won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.