Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3359a9083f2033810eb9d9af467308b175f7def4f7ab794d0b5ac18b608eb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,694$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked No | 58c | 1,805$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed Yes | 42c | 1,803$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 56c | 942.18$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 644$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 331$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 324.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 297$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 63c | 282.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 248.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 48c | 243.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 42c | 168.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 58c | 141$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 136.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…7c59backed No | 63c | 94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes | 48c | 86.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 86.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 44c | 79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 70.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 60.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 37c | 56.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…cc16backed Yes | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 42c | 47.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 42.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…7e4ebacked Yes | 37c | 32.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 65c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 57c | 23.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will Livingston FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.