Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ed047344ea4f3a9fa2e9d82b2a8aa78e866001ed0a2706a136fe15d4e0d7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 7,200$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.08 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 3,873$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.49 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,828$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.46 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 2,740$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 2,480$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 1,644$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,582$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,235$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 69c | 636.72$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 55c | 628.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed No | 7c | 589.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 29c | 424.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 401.09$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 41c | 377.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 79c | 228.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 218.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 35c | 175.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked Yes | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 127.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes | 75c | 120.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…16c9backed No | 74c | 109.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 49c | 109.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked Yes | 28c | 109.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 75c | 100.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…35d0backed Yes | 63c | 93.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 53c | 69.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 25c | 69.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Yes | 69c | 60.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 27c | 55.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 21c | 49.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 68c | 43.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…8ba4backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 42c | 40.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 60c | 35.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked No | 73c | 19.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.