Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b705c1256d281c16b98d12f58add1288a2cb23afa7cf43bcb6d7ded20a40b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 24c | 13,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 6,964$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,582$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 3,496$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 74c | 1,549$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 1,484$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.96 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 724.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 76c | 622.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 525$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 80c | 351.07$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 15c | 313.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 17c | 170.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…d42cbacked No | 75c | 144.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 14c | 133.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 20c | 130.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 76c | 119$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 104.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…dc7ebacked Yes | 22c | 92.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 25c | 59.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 73c | 43.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 76c | 39.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-25?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.