Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af1e7b9bb3953feb4ae754ea41c0c2496cbe033500393541479b0abed584340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 4,003$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked No | 61c | 1,248$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,028$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.69 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 687.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 45c | 611.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 603$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 425.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 37c | 257.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 249$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 232.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 196$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 58c | 103$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 44c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 40c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 64.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 24.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.