Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972765c89603400c8596db1f35d767c7e60b6b4cb64d20ceddbe6a755ff599ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Alabama State Hornets, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 1,807$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Alabama State Hornets | 2c | 1,667$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 67c | 1,185$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama State Hornets | 16c | 1,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Alabama State Hornets | 22c | 1,054$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 55c | 1,046$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 909.59$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 57c | 575$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 56c | 453.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 71c | 405.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Alabama State Hornets | 16c | 274.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Alabama State Hornets | 25c | 258.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama State Hornets | 22c | 255.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Alabama State Hornets | 18c | 248.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 247.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Alabama State Hornets | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 49c | 197.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alabama State Hornets | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 67c | 165.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 72c | 139.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Alabama State Hornets | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Alabama State Hornets | 14c | 98.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 90.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama State Hornets | 47c | 84.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…ee90backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…403bbacked Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec5…bca5backed Alabama State Hornets | 33c | 56.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…92cbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Alabama State Hornets | 33c | 45.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Alabama State Hornets | 51c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…25bfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 60c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 22.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsthis page
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 160.5Over won
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 162.5Over won
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-1.5)Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.