NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157322efe72f9739f99c586752cea70e370b06071bb1cf8b579d226cdb855203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof Dinamo Minsk, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 38c | 1,041$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…4040backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 941$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…2e90backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 575$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…8015backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 536$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 518$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…3e92backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 481$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 34c | 399.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 298$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 269$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 61c | 260.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 239.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 238$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 228$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 212$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed SKA St. Petersburg | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 194.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 191$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 177$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 161.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 161$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 39c | 129.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 96.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 62c | 92.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 78.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 62.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 53.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 31c | 41.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 38.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Dinamo Minsk | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.