TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x28a2…91a4backed No38c144$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No38c142$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+89.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked No38c123$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed No38c108$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No38c108$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked No38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked No38c101$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No38c94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.281450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked No38c92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+79%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Yes62c81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked No38c68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Yes61c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No38c61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed No38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No38c51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed No38c46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Yes62c44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Yes62c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No38c43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Yes62c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed No38c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Yes62c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Yes62c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Yes62c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Yes62c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Yes62c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Yes62c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes62c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes62c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Yes62c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Yes62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Yes62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Yes62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Yes62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Yes62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Yes62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Yes62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Yes62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Yes62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Yes62c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Yes62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0240%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Yes62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Yes62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Yes62c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Yes62c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Yes62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Yes62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Yes62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.