Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93afbe8b48f04857fa1488bae871994986260f59e03c117f675a61dbe5d76f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 1,203$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.56 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 934.94$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 51c | 253$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 192$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 43c | 66.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 57.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 48c | 56.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 32.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5this page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield RoadrunnersBakersfield Roadrunners won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 150.5Under won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-3.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-4.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-5.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.