La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681741dd72aad4c8c57018425ebeed67c4e806f411f57783b5e84abfcb8cf5aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 7,448$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 1c | 5,784$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 4,542$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 3,555$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.55 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 2,231$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 64c | 1,704$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 1,334$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.92 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 867.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 73c | 689.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 53c | 680.91$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.42 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 539.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.89 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 18c | 520$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 487$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 438.24$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 26c | 400.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 25c | 396.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 374.9$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 72c | 327.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 69c | 235.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 204$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 38c | 203.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 43c | 188$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 154.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…ca89backed Yes | 32c | 146.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 37c | 109.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 99.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 37c | 92.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 39c | 82.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 30c | 66.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 40c | 61.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 56.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 28c | 53.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 38c | 47.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 26c | 42.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…503cbacked Yes | 65c | 35.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 38c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 60c | 27.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 62cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 19.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 71c | 19.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 17.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.