La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8fbaf9ae0b09bfb9d95137e23c494f9f4632757103669ac500c7d6cb68da28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 70c | 6,137$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…239cbacked No | 70c | 2,870$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,644$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 30c | 1,385$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.44 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,283$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 1,214$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.88 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,125$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…af99backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…6bc9backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 2c | 999.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 947.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…1875backed No | 70c | 941.36$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 871.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 858$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 27c | 842.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 30c | 770.41$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…0c50backed No | 70c | 627.14$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 30c | 364.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 30c | 307.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 30c | 290.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…dbeebacked No | 70c | 288.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…4329backed No | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 249.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 30c | 246.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes | 6c | 246$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 73c | 224.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 207.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…259dbacked No | 70c | 185.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 27c | 161.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 143.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 70c | 140.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 31c | 130.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 26c | 117.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 30c | 114.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 27c | 72.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 31c | 66.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 34c | 59.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 71c | 51.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 29c | 48.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 30c | 34.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 58c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…2089backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed No | 71c | 14.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.