Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0178c47e46990bb7882a08aad90928a8e2a7ef07ce9420fa3c3fbc2f17b7be8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 46c | 29,366$13,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,627.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 25,178$13,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,218$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 826.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 800$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 47c | 455.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 358.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 55c | 332.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 295$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed No | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed No | 54c | 46.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 29.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 65c | 28.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked No | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 55c | 24.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed No | 54c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.