Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc7928eab1bf8db34edf6177aa8c31e58b480dfdf552efcff5133e3dca10149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 11,707$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 5,256$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.74 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 35c | 3,383$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 1,885$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.32 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 63c | 1,683$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 64c | 777.39$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.53 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 39c | 546.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.15 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 35c | 388.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 36c | 383.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 36c | 333.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 39c | 294.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 37c | 286.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 57c | 285.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 31c | 165.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 8c | 151.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 36c | 131.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 123.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 64c | 104.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 81.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed Under | 69c | 64.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 61c | 62.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Under | 65c | 61.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 59.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 61c | 59.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 37c | 58.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 65c | 44.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 38.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 39c | 28.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 61c | 22.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Under | 63c | 22.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 71c | 21.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…d153backed Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.