Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaefdd376dd6008393ef3179c7d6b9abc90e170f4161a474d82a3c6ba4b2dbad2

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,522 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	37c	13,854$5,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,170.57	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.99	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	36c	5,900$2,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,124	455	47%214 W · 241 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over	70c	4,880$3,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.99	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	45c	1,762$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.76	969	42.3%410 W · 559 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	44c	981.56$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.49	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	64c	800$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	64c	700$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254	229	47.6%109 W · 120 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over	63c	555.56$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.56	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	72c	548.61$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.61	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	64c	400$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	285	56.1%160 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	32c	312.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.84	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	184	59.2%109 W · 75 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	67c	230$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.9	143	51%73 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	73c	205.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.48	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	136	48.5%66 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	63c	198.97$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.11	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under	32c	190.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	41c	181.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	36c	156.59$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	176	51.7%91 W · 85 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a78…f457backed Over	64c	154.77$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.77	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under	37c	152$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.6wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Over	50c	120.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.14	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	64c	120$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	37c	120$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under	37c	120$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under	37c	97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.89	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	156	48.7%76 W · 80 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	67c	83$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+16.1wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	80.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under	37c	76$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac16…bc6fbacked Over	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	72c	71.95$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.57	368	52.7%194 W · 174 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	64c	70$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	179	58.7%105 W · 74 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over	65c	68.92$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	51c	63.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	-14.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under	37c	43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	53c	40.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	208	41.8%87 W · 121 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	60c	38.62$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	248	49.2%122 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over	63c	35$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	64cpaid	+45%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	51cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-56%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over	63c	29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.73	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Under	45c	26.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	62c	25.92$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over	55c	25.87$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	51c	25.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over	63c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over	63c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Over	63c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Over	63c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over	63c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.77	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over	63c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.77	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Over	63c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.77	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Over	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over	63c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Over	63c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Over	63c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.29	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over	63c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Over	63c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event