TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Simona Waltert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kartalof Kartal, Waltert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Kartal68c20,722$14,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,553.92,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kartal73c14,545$10,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Waltert15c10,077$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Waltert22c6,954$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.2916830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Waltert22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Waltert36c4,935$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76935247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Waltert35c4,689$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.521,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Waltert27c3,054$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.143,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Waltert21c2,948$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.1238652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kartal77c2,895$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.422,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a57…c3f8backed Waltert35c2,828$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Waltert20c2,014$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Kartal62c1,606$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.2762061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kartal37c1,581$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9322641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Waltert40c1,494$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Waltert43c1,373$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.3397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Waltert23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Waltert23c1,089$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kartal66c852.31$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Waltert10c783.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Waltert14c750$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kartal79c650.14$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.011,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Waltert54c624.11$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e6…cbe7backed Waltert23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c3…faf2backed Waltert22c590$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Waltert20c571.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e8…bcc7backed Waltert22c560$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Waltert37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Waltert19c539.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Waltert17c483.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Waltert47c474.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.566,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Waltert18c462.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6212740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Kartal72c418.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4842558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1531…f303backed Waltert12c364.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.131315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Waltert26c345.39$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…4279backed Waltert22c340$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Kartal39c330.74$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.757644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kartal68c320$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kartal73c311.27$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.492,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Kartal66c302.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0212627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…bdddbacked Kartal78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…0150backed Kartal77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…779abacked Kartal77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f9…70ebbacked Kartal78c290$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Waltert25c281.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.211,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac0…b014backed Kartal78c280$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4c…9f09backed Kartal78c280$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Waltert19c263.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1334842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Waltert39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Kartal64c250$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…5c90backed Waltert8c234$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+82.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Waltert19c233.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1418551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Waltert20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe1…6b57backed Kartal34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d39…9b8dbacked Kartal78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Waltert9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kartal76c188.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.279762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Kartal74c185.04$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6816046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Kartal78c170.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5172542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kartal55c169.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.784,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Waltert20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Kartal78c152.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.92878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Waltert32c147$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Waltert21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde73…d7d9backed Kartal78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e37…e36cbacked Kartal75c132.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Waltert21c129$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Kartal64c128.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1610150.5%51 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kartal78c128.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Waltert16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782a…7e7dbacked Waltert16c124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Waltert25c119.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305450%27 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Waltert30c116.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Waltert44c112.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Waltert21c105.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1665849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Waltert32c100.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Waltert19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db6…e1babacked Kartal34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Waltert26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Waltert15c99.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Waltert30c99.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.783745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1a…db57backed Kartal59c99.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.15229.1%2 W · 20 L-6.4wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Waltert28c98.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Waltert21c93.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Waltert22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce9…aa53backed Waltert18c90.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Waltert23c88.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Waltert26c87.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5427543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Waltert41c85.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Waltert61c82.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Waltert21c81.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Waltert34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Kartal66c79.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.854341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Waltert19c78.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Kartal65c77.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.128547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f3…2788backed Waltert58c70.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Kartal65c69.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7182560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Waltert38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Waltert22c65.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Kartal42c64.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.293177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+63.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.