Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Julia Grabher
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68defa4846577f465aadc429ddd57bbc4c926daa53b45f11bd3291414e12b015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zakharovaof Zakharova, Grabher
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grabher | 24c | 5,543$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Grabher | 37c | 2,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zakharova | 77c | 1,425$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Grabher | 35c | 1,250$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zakharova | 63c | 1,172$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grabher | 29c | 1,020$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Zakharova | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…5c0cbacked Grabher | 32c | 940.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zakharova | 61c | 496.97$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Zakharova | 66c | 474.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Grabher | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed Zakharova | 79c | 412.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Grabher | 21c | 408.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Grabher | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Zakharova | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1531…f303backed Grabher | 17c | 372.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Zakharova | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Grabher | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Grabher | 8c | 283.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Grabher | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Zakharova | 65c | 264$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Zakharova | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Zakharova | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Zakharova | 65c | 225.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zakharova | 66c | 216.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Grabher | 25c | 213.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Grabher | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Grabher | 35c | 202.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Zakharova | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked Grabher | 33c | 187.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Grabher | 24c | 185.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Zakharova | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…cd20backed Grabher | 15c | 167.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zakharova | 62c | 159.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Grabher | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Zakharova | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Grabher | 25c | 150.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Grabher | 36c | 146.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Grabher | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Grabher | 39c | 141.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grabher | 20c | 121.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grabher | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grabher | 22c | 107.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Grabher | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zakharova | 69c | 107$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Grabher | 38c | 104.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Zakharova | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Grabher | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Grabher | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Grabher | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Zakharova | 64c | 95.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Zakharova | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grabher | 30c | 89.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Zakharova | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 194 | 66%128 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Grabher | 24c | 60.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grabher | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Zakharova | 66c | 55.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Zakharova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1667backed Grabher | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Zakharova | 67c | 36.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Zakharova | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Grabher | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Zakharova | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Zakharova | 67c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…118cbacked Zakharova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…2788backed Zakharova | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…82a7backed Grabher | 36c | 29.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931d…774abacked Zakharova | 65c | 28.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…acf5backed Zakharova | 65c | 27.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Zakharova | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f03fbacked Zakharova | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zakharova | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…80d7backed Zakharova | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Zakharova | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Zakharova | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Julia Grabherthis page
- Zakharova vs. Grabher: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.