CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b97715e6184714af29346b0219efc0d6ae3d6e6bdd63956a34b0aaa98c3305e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof MINLATE, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 33c | 3,459$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.86 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FORZE Reload | 68c | 1,953$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 1,122$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 764.38$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 338.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MINLATE | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed MINLATE | 50c | 264.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 26c | 235.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…090abacked MINLATE | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…6ab5backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 218$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4db…f61ebacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 217$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…0944backed MINLATE | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 134.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed FORZE Reload | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked MINLATE | 16c | 127.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 119.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MINLATE | 15c | 97.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked MINLATE | 37c | 88.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MINLATE | 26c | 73.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 62.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed MINLATE | 47c | 57.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MINLATE | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 24c | 45.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked MINLATE | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…a1f8backed FORZE Reload | 78c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 23.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed MINLATE | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed FORZE Reload | 76c | 17.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.