CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05bb27f0887e0336f36c00da73c7ee51779f41b158218db20da5556682674e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof MINLATE, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 49c | 6,261$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.84 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 49c | 6,213$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.88 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 3,147$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.01 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 813.91$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.13 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 627.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 210$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…cf2dbacked MINLATE | 26c | 189.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MINLATE | 55c | 164.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MINLATE | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked FORZE Reload | 54c | 54.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked FORZE Reload | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…a1f8backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 37.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked FORZE Reload | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group StageFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.