Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9866ec702074c89fec09093cdc822d77d201b6e07dfbfdd4de30f54d1a3efb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pliskovaof Sierra, Pliskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Pliskova | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sierra | 44c | 6,748$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.1 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Sierra | 16c | 3,607$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.67 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Pliskova | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sierra | 45c | 2,937$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.82 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sierra | 11c | 1,756$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sierra | 47c | 1,192$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.55 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pliskova | 53c | 902.14$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.01 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Sierra | 45c | 772.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Pliskova | 80c | 625.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sierra | 45c | 510.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pliskova | 80c | 425.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Pliskova | 56c | 357.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sierra | 45c | 351.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Pliskova | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sierra | 19c | 308.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sierra | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Pliskova | 55c | 242.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Sierra | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Sierra | 46c | 216.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pliskova | 73c | 212.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sierra | 44c | 207$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Sierra | 25c | 206.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sierra | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sierra | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Pliskova | 55c | 156.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pliskova | 54c | 148.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pliskova | 54c | 142.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sierra | 48c | 126.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Sierra | 45c | 125.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sierra | 47c | 112.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Pliskova | 55c | 108.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Pliskova | 55c | 106.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Sierra | 48c | 104.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Pliskova | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pliskova | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed Pliskova | 74c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Sierra | 45c | 64.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sierra | 45c | 60.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Sierra | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pliskova | 55c | 40.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pliskova | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Pliskova | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9678backed Pliskova | 56c | 34.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sierra | 45c | 34.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sierra | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…4775backed Sierra | 45c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…a609backed Pliskova | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…aa37backed Sierra | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sierra | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…0382backed Pliskova | 56c | 31.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…e610backed Pliskova | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…5c03backed Sierra | 45c | 29.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Pliskova | 55c | 25.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Pliskova | 77c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs PliskovaPliskova won
- Sierra vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sierra vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.