Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Camila Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6b8a855eab97eaa65edc0e644baa9a84215fa1cc3ee52a0c840ad65e3d8578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osorioof Hon, Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Osorio | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Hon | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Osorio | 54c | 5,599$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.69 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Osorio | 54c | 3,889$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.51 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Hon | 47c | 3,192$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Osorio | 75c | 2,669$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.96 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hon | 42c | 2,066$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Osorio | 73c | 1,552$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hon | 55c | 1,357$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hon | 30c | 1,308$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hon | 34c | 1,063$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Osorio | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hon | 36c | 980.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hon | 26c | 939.46$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Hon | 37c | 922.62$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.31 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Hon | 48c | 822.94$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hon | 34c | 759.68$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Hon | 30c | 626.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Osorio | 73c | 539.54$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Hon | 20c | 532.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Osorio | 58c | 423.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…8f96backed Osorio | 64c | 391.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hon | 41c | 379.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Hon | 27c | 309.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Hon | 44c | 303.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hon | 37c | 286.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Osorio | 73c | 273.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hon | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hon | 24c | 237.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Osorio | 61c | 235.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Hon | 42c | 206$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed Osorio | 68c | 194.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Osorio | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Hon | 48c | 154.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Hon | 27c | 147.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Osorio | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Osorio | 74c | 135.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Hon | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Hon | 39c | 107.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Osorio | 51c | 104.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Osorio | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Osorio | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Hon | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ab72backed Hon | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Hon | 20c | 93.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Hon | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Osorio | 73c | 91.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Osorio | 73c | 81.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Osorio | 58c | 80.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hon | 13c | 79.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Hon | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…b671backed Osorio | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…14d8backed Hon | 25c | 65.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Hon | 30c | 63.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Osorio | 66c | 63.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hon | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Hon | 53c | 56.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Osorio | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Hon | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Osorio | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…a9a9backed Osorio | 74c | 48.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…2788backed Osorio | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Osorio | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…ef0abacked Osorio | 58c | 41.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Osorio | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Hon | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Hon | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Hon | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Osorio | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Osorio | 58c | 33.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Osorio | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a7…5195backed Osorio | 76c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Osorio | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…36bebacked Osorio | 76c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf973…2436backed Osorio | 78c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…a330backed Osorio | 76c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…a368backed Osorio | 76c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Osorio | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Camila Osoriothis page
- Set Handicap: Osorio (-1.5) vs Hon (+1.5)Hon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.