CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7153bde3d1d7befbdb145f3714b249daaab8d869cf6af68fcd796f1ee9ede623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Imperial, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Imperial | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked 9z | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed 9z | 32c | 1,742$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.38 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 56c | 1,726$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.67 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed 9z | 42c | 1,499$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.42 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 43c | 1,432$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 60c | 1,181$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed 9z | 42c | 952$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed 9z | 80c | 816$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 25c | 710$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z | 42c | 704.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed 9z | 66c | 505.91$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 53c | 490.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Imperial | 57c | 434.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed 9z | 51c | 389.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 9z | 31c | 323.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…f256backed 9z | 43c | 242.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 71c | 241.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 9z | 32c | 221.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Imperial | 57c | 206.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked 9z | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…3773backed 9z | 42c | 201$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed 9z | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 9z | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 9z | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Imperial | 32c | 157.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed 9z | 25c | 156.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 57c | 153.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed 9z | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Imperial | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked 9z | 42c | 116.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Imperial | 43c | 111.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…fb2fbacked 9z | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Imperial | 55c | 90.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed 9z | 67c | 90.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 9z | 51c | 89.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 9z | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 9z | 35c | 71.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed Imperial | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed 9z | 42c | 65.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 60c | 63.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed 9z | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Imperial | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed 9z | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Imperial | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Imperial | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Imperial | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 9z | 52c | 32.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…a9d1backed 9z | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Imperial | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Imperial | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed 9z | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Imperial | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 9z | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed 9z | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.