Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Mees Rottgering
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7f671a7b9650606d5b9fe1141fd21b4ef22a7ec173615290e1bdfc245951d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rottgeringof Baena, Rottgering
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rottgering | 50c | 15,718$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,850.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rottgering | 51c | 8,415$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.92 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Baena | 52c | 7,013$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.78 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…11cbbacked Baena | 50c | 5,584$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Baena | 43c | 2,659$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.47 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Baena | 67c | 2,253$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.35 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baena | 49c | 1,889$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.65 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baena | 53c | 1,829$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.39 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Baena | 47c | 1,545$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.09 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Baena | 55c | 1,508$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.03 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Baena | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Rottgering | 39c | 1,464$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.12 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Baena | 41c | 1,451$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Baena | 55c | 1,084$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.02 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Baena | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Rottgering | 54c | 926.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rottgering | 44c | 837.81$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.28 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Rottgering | 50c | 823.23$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rottgering | 49c | 680.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Baena | 71c | 650.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.59 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baena | 51c | 586.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.05 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Baena | 48c | 571.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Baena | 54c | 569.73$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.36 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Baena | 55c | 528.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Rottgering | 43c | 464.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Baena | 56c | 396.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baena | 42c | 365.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Rottgering | 44c | 357.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Rottgering | 48c | 311.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rottgering | 47c | 308.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Rottgering | 68c | 288.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Baena | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Baena | 45c | 262.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rottgering | 23c | 233.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Baena | 62c | 228.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Rottgering | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Baena | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Rottgering | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baena | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…a218backed Baena | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Baena | 60c | 177.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rottgering | 51c | 176.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baena | 45c | 175.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Rottgering | 42c | 165.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Baena | 76c | 142.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Baena | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rottgering | 39c | 129.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Baena | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Rottgering | 45c | 117.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Rottgering | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Baena | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Rottgering | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Baena | 51c | 90.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baena | 51c | 81.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Baena | 54c | 79.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baena | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Rottgering | 26c | 71.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rottgering | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Baena | 74c | 54.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Baena | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Rottgering | 50c | 45.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rottgering | 44c | 35.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Rottgering | 36c | 32.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Baena | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Baena | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Rottgering | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Baena | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baena | 61c | 24.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Rottgering | 47c | 23.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…59cabacked Baena | 58c | 21.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Baena | 73c | 19.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Rottgering | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Baena | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Mees Rottgeringthis page
- Set Handicap: Baena (-1.5) vs Rottgering (+1.5)Rottgering won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.