Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5442aec5657ed24257f6748b11f49d80b4841de5aca57a504c61f8ff8015e120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 73c | 10,357$7,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 9,903$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.14 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 79c | 9,095$7,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.9 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 8,333$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 71c | 5,635$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 77c | 5,279$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,339$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 2c | 991.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 28c | 771.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 35c | 683.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 77c | 649.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 645.47$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 423.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 26c | 399.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 74c | 381.86$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 374.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 284.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 9c | 224.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 31c | 185.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 21c | 175.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 141.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 139.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 121.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed No | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 111.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 100.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 24c | 94.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…04bebacked No | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 22c | 73.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 23c | 65.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…2946backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 23c | 55.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 73c | 49.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…a33cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked No | 75c | 35.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed No | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…e0eebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.