Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb159a707feb51c597bfdaef41c1ec70b885aeb76d3aed937c69981301699e8b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 54c | 2,767$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.81 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,108$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.84 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 835.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 817.13$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 65c | 423.48$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 387.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 256.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 248$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 145.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 74c | 119$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 46c | 108.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 46c | 94.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 87.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 81.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 77.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 21c | 76.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 31c | 63.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 68c | 38.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 29c | 38.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 78c | 37.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 55c | 23.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 79c | 18.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 75c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Yes | 79c | 12.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.