Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b1251e48768985e5cae532bc5e6d79aaf4f48833d108cdef63b8dada1e6d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x812e…ae42backed Yes | 0c | 37,340$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,984$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 25c | 1,459$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.71 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 26c | 1,092$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 37cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 985.48$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.02 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 775.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 310$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…12afbacked Yes | 11c | 305$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 77c | 288$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 149.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 112.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 102.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 27c | 52.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 41c | 49.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 25c | 46.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 80c | 25.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.