Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f49169e7512ee592e6fc3dc77df8b62fb5d491e2bbf0221f476be60cf2e198a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x812e…ae42backed No | 1c | 329,545$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 45c | 8,351$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 48c | 4,776$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,603$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.85 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 54c | 4,262$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.04 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 23c | 3,485$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.89 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 2,646$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.43 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 33c | 1,950$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 1,122$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.46 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 8c | 1,100$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 50c | 655.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 621.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 617.74$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 487.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 47c | 426.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked Yes | 16c | 420$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.44 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes | 6c | 400$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 6c | 343.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Yes | 14c | 299.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 287.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 53c | 287.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Yes | 44c | 250.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked No | 61c | 239.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 219.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 6c | 210$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 54c | 173.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Yes | 46c | 157.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 47c | 149.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 13c | 143.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 48c | 136.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 9c | 135.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 111.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 19c | 109.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 35c | 89.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Yes | 12c | 85.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 16c | 82.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 37cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 40c | 67.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 53c | 55.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 54c | 55.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 54.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 37c | 47.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…f5bbbacked Yes | 46c | 42.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 47c | 36.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 43c | 25.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.