Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6433a3729eb3fcebf9864b1422a6dac7e6f352349e21a675636e9faf939a6cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,487$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.73 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 20c | 1,678$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.51 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 1,628$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 1,107$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.6 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 45c | 916.72$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.84 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 658$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 634.56$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 518.75$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 29c | 346.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 305$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 33c | 301.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 250.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 250.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…b4ffbacked Yes | 38c | 220$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 218.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 216.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 26c | 163$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 65c | 162$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 53c | 146.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 12c | 138.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 36c | 132$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 67c | 101.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 41c | 95.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 93.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 73c | 83.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 69.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 33c | 57.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 56.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 28c | 54.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 41.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 79c | 36.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ff…e9b3backed Yes | 71c | 33.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Yes | 77c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 74c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39f…e42cbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Yes | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…ab6ebacked Yes | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-02?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.