Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8516d990b82576c2fd449cf4a4c443d62d9fae1a3746965e576033dfd5d8deac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 8,222$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Yes | 64c | 8,063$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 1c | 4,323$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 3,354$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.89 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 48c | 3,022$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.73 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,382$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 2,329$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 3c | 2,169$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 1,250$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.58 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 80c | 1,011$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 14c | 660.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 639.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 47c | 603.96$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…8f2ebacked Yes | 22c | 474$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 79c | 464$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.56 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 80c | 376.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 20c | 326.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 47c | 309.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 14c | 256.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 255.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 241.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 201.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 196.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 55c | 194.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 193.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 52c | 155.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 26c | 135.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 78c | 131.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 18c | 131.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 130.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 78c | 129$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 38c | 124.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 96.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 78c | 90$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 84.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 83.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 23c | 81.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 51c | 78.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 60c | 70.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Yes | 46c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 21c | 61.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 51c | 60.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 79c | 50.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 41c | 46.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 44c | 43.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 41.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 40.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 51c | 36.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 32.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…a5d4backed Yes | 69c | 30.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked No | 80c | 21.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…5f18backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 67c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 17.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed No | 64c | 16.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…5c13backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.